Energy Descent Scenarios; integrating impacts of Climate Change, Peak Oil & Bubble Economics
|Speaker: David Holmgren, co-originator of permaculture|
|When: Tuesday 9th July 2013|
|Location: Building E6A Room 102|
The impacts of Climate Change, Peak Oil and Bubble Economics are shifting from speculation and forecasting to documentation and response even before there is any consensus that that these will be critical drivers in emergent futures. However most of the discussion and strategic responses tend to be in isolation from each other let alone the myriad of compounding factors that reflect the Limits To Growth thesis 40 years ago. Energy Descent covers a diversity of global and local futures that reflect a multi-generational decline in net energy and wealth available to support humanity. This presentation introduces the logic of energy descent futures and grass roots responses that are occurring in the absence of public discourse about energy descent. Four scenarios are then used to illustrate the diversity of possible energy descent future. Finally a case study informed by permaculture is used to address the questions of whether it is possible to reduce environmental impact while building self reliance and resilience to energy descent futures.
Bio: David Holmgren co-originator of permaculture (1978) is an author, activist, educator, consultant and public speaker. His family property “Melliodora” in Hepburn, Victoria is one of the best known permaculture demonstration sites in Australia.
As well as constant involvement in the practical diversity of permaculture, David is passionate about the philosophical and conceptual foundations for sustainability that are highlighted in his major work, Permaculture: Principles and Pathways Beyond Sustainability(2002). His more recent work Future Scenarios: Mapping the Cultural Implications of Peak Oil and Climate Change (2007) outlines energy descent futures that could emerge over the next few decades. His work has been a major influence on the Transition Towns movement that is building resilience in local communities across the globe. David Holmgren’s refreshing and unorthodox approach to the environmental issues of our time empowers citizens and communities to show how the problem can become the solution.